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== Present values, perpetuities and annuities ==
== Present values, perpetuities and annuities ==


'''Present value PV:''' value of a future payment C<sub>t</sub> (in year t), discounted to year 0: [[Datei:Form_FV.png]]
'''Present value PV:''' value of a future payment C<sub>t</sub> (in year t), discounted to year 0: [[Datei:Form_PV.png]]


'''Future value FV<sub>t</sub>:''' value of a present payment (in year 0), calculated by compounding to year t: [[Datei:Form_PV.png]]<br/>
'''Future value FV<sub>t</sub>:''' value of a present payment (in year 0), calculated by compounding to year t: [[Datei:Form_FV.png]]<br/>
: t year<br/>  
: t year<br/>  
: r [[Kalkulationszinssatz|discount rate]] (interest rate)<br/>  
: r [[Kalkulationszinssatz|discount rate]] (interest rate)<br/>  
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'''Profitability index:''' ratio of NPV to investment of a project: [[Datei:Form_PI.png]]
'''Profitability index:''' ratio of NPV to investment of a project: [[Datei:Form_PI.png]]


'''Equivalent annual cash flow (EAC):''' cash flow per year with the same present value as the actual cash flow of the project: [[Datei:Form_EAC.png]]
'''Equivalent annual cash flow (EAC):''' cash flow per year with the same present value as the actual cash flow of the project: [[Datei:cw_EAC.png]]
 


== Interest and discount rates ==
== Interest and discount rates ==
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:- EAR for a daily rate d: EAR = (1+d)<sup>360</sup> – 1    (for 360 days per year)
:- EAR for a daily rate d: EAR = (1+d)<sup>360</sup> – 1    (for 360 days per year)
Given an annual percentage rate (APR) of r, the corresponding EAR with respect to n shorter periods of equal length is:  [[Datei:Form_EAR.png]]
'''Effective annual rate with continuous compounding:''' effective annual rate for n → &#8734; shorter periods: [[Datei:Form_EAR_cc.png]] (being r the simple annual rate)


'''Annual percentage rate (APR) or simple rate:''' annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using simple interest.
'''Annual percentage rate (APR) or simple rate:''' annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using simple interest.


:- APR for a monthly rate m: APR = 12 * m
:- APR for a monthly rate m: APR = 12 * m
Given an annual percentage rate (APR) of r, the corresponding EAR with respect to n shorter periods of equal length is:  [[Datei:Form_EAR.png]]
'''Effective annual rate with continuous compounding:''' effective annual rate for n → &#8734; shorter periods: [[Datei:Form_EAR_cc.png]] (being r the simple annual rate)


'''Real rate of return:''' rate of return adjusted for inflation: [[Datei:Form_Real_Int_1.png]]
'''Real rate of return:''' rate of return adjusted for inflation: [[Datei:Form_Real_Int_1.png]]
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== Valuing bonds ==
== Valuing bonds ==


'''Price of a bond:''' [[Datei:Form_PV_Bond.png]]
'''Price of a bond:''' [[Datei:Form_PV_Bond.png]]<br/>
 
 
with<br/>
with<br/>
: C<sub>t</sub> annual coupon interest payment<br/>
: C<sub>t</sub> annual coupon interest payment<br/>
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'''(Expected) [[Wertpapierrendite|Stock return r]] (equity cost of capital):''' [[Datei:Form_Stock_Return.png]]
'''(Expected) [[Wertpapierrendite|Stock return r]] (equity cost of capital):''' [[Datei:Form_Stock_Return.png]]
'''Stock price P<sub>0</sub> in the single-period case:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_einperiodig.png]]
* '''Stock price P<sub>0</sub> in the single-period case:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_einperiodig.png]]
'''Dividend discount model''' for the stock price P0 in the multi-period case until time horizon H: [[Datei:Form_P0_mehrperiodig.png]]
* '''Dividend discount model''' for the stock price P0 in the multi-period case until time horizon H: [[Datei:cw_DDM_v2.png]]
'''Stock price P<sub>0</sub>''' with specific dividends until time horizon H and growing dividends after H: [[Datei:Form_P0_growth.png]]
* '''Stock price P<sub>0</sub>''' with specific dividends until time horizon H and growing dividends after H: [[Datei:Form_P0_growth.png]]


'''Stock price for a perpetual stream of dividends:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_perpetual.png]]
* '''Stock price for a perpetual stream of dividends:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_perpetual.png]]
'''Stock price for a perpetual stream of growing dividends:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_perp_growth.png]]
* '''Stock price for a perpetual stream of growing dividends:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_perp_growth.png]]
 
* '''Stock price = Discounted earnings + growth opportunities:''' [[Datei:Cw_PVGO.png]]
 
 
'''Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO):''' net present value of a firm's future investments.
'''Return (Equity cost of capital) of a perpetual stream of dividends with growth:''' [[Datei:Form_RoE_growth.png]]
'''Return (Equity cost of capital) of a perpetual stream of dividends with growth:''' [[Datei:Form_RoE_growth.png]]
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'''Plowback ratio:''' fraction of earnings retained by the firm: [[Datei:Form_Plowback.png]]
'''Plowback ratio:''' fraction of earnings retained by the firm: [[Datei:Form_Plowback.png]]
'''Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO):''' net present value of a firm's future investments.


'''Sustainable growth rate:''' rate at which a firm can steadily grow: [[Datei:Form_Sustainable.png]]
'''Sustainable growth rate:''' rate at which a firm can steadily grow: [[Datei:Form_Sustainable.png]]
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== Risk and return ==
== Risk and return ==


'''Risk premium of an asset:''' asset return – return of risk-free asset
'''Risk premium of an asset:''' asset return – return of risk-free asset.
 
'''Variance:''' expected value of squared deviations of observations from their expected value (mean):
 
based on j observations
 
'''Standard deviation:''' a measure of volatility of expected stock returns:


'''Variance:''' expected value of squared deviations of observations from their expected value (mean): [[Datei:Form_Var.png]] (based on j observations)


'''Standard deviation:''' a measure of volatility of expected stock returns: [[Datei:Form_Standard_Dev.png]]


'''Expected portfolio return''' (with two assets):
'''Expected portfolio return''' (with two assets): [[Datei:Form_EV_zwei.png]]
'''Expected portfolio return''' (with j = 1, …, n assets):
'''Expected portfolio return''' (with j = 1, …, n assets): [[Datei:Form_EV_n.png]]
:x<sub>j</sub> weight of asset j in the portfolio<br/>
:x<sub>j</sub> weight of asset j in the portfolio<br/>
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:r<sub>j</sub> (expected) return of asset j<br/>
:r<sub>j</sub> (expected) return of asset j<br/>


'''Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance)''' in the case of two assets:
'''Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance)''' in the case of two assets: [[Datei:Form_Port_Var_zwei.png]]


'''Covariance''' between asset i and j with
'''Covariance''' between asset i and j with [[Datei:Form_Covariance_Formel.png]]
   
   
'''Correlation coefficient''' between asset i and j:  
'''Correlation coefficient''' between asset i and j: [[Datei:Form_Corr_Coeff_Formel.png]]
'''Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance)''' in the case of n assets:
'''Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance)''' in the case of n assets: [[Datei:Form_Port_Var_n.png]]
 
'''Sharpe-Ratio: ratio of risk premium to risk (standard deviation): [[Datei:cw_Sharpe_ratio.png]]


'''Beta''' of the return of asset j to the market return (return of market portfolio m):
'''Beta''' of the return of asset j to the market return (return of market portfolio m): [[Datei:Form_Beta.png]]




'''Expected return following the security market line''' equation (SML):
'''Expected return following the security market line''' equation (SML): [[Datei:Form_Expected_Return.png]]
 
 
Expected return of a stock in '''event studies''':
Expected return of a stock in '''event studies''': [[Datei:Form_Normal_Return.png]]
'''Abnormal return''' = actual return – expected return =
'''Abnormal return''' = actual return – expected return = [[Datei:Form_Abnormal.png]]
 
 
 


== Capital Structure and Return ==
== Capital Structure and Return ==


'''[[Rentabilität|Rates of return]]:'''
'''[[Rentabilität|Rates of return]]:'''<br/>
 
[[Datei:Form_RoI.png]]<br/>
[[Datei:Form_RoA.png]]<br/>
[[Datei:Form_RoC.png]]


 
'''Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):''' [[Datei:Form_WACC_after_Tax.png]]
 
'''Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):'''
 
 
:r<sub>D</sub> interest rate on debt resp. debt cost of capital
:r<sub>D</sub> interest rate on debt resp. debt cost of capital
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:T<sub>c</sub> corporate tax rate
:T<sub>c</sub> corporate tax rate


'''Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)''' with a zero-tax rate:
'''Weighted average cost of capital (WACC)''' with a zero-tax rate: [[Datei:Form_WACC.png]]
'''Leverage-formula''' for return on equity: return on equity increases with debt/equity-ratio
'''Leverage-formula''' for return on equity: return on equity increases with debt/equity-ratio: [[Datei:Form_Leverage.png]]
 
'''Leverage-formula''' for equity beta: risk increases with debt/equity-ratio: [[Datei:Form_Leverage_Beta.png]]
 


'''Leverage-formula''' for equity beta: risk increases with debt/equity-ratio:
== Exercises ==
Please try our [[Financial Exercises]] or have a look at the [[Financial Ratios]] or at our [[Investition|investment pages]].<br/>

Aktuelle Version vom 14. Mai 2012, 11:08 Uhr

by Clemens Werkmeister

Present values, perpetuities and annuities

Present value PV: value of a future payment Ct (in year t), discounted to year 0:  

Future value FVt: value of a present payment (in year 0), calculated by compounding to year t:  

t year
r discount rate (interest rate)
  discount factor with discount rate (interest rate) r for t years
Ct cash flow in year t
C0 initial investment of a project (for normal investment projects: C0 < 0)
T number of years of the project

The sum of several present values is a PV, too (additivity of present values): 


Net present value NPV: PV of future payments (of a project or a company) plus the - usually negative - initial investment C0:  

Perpetuity (console): a periodic (annual) payment C that is received or paid forever (beginning with the first payment at the end of year 1): 

Annuity: a payment of a level cash flow C during a specified number of years (from year 1 to n). Its present value can be calculated as difference between two perpetuities:  

Annuity (recovery) factor: average payment at the end of n periods, corresponding to a present value PV and considering for interest rate r: 

Annuity present value factor: factor for the PV of n equal payments at the end of years 1 to n:  

The annuity C for years 1 to n corresponding to a present value PV and discount rate r is:  

Growing perpetuity: a perpetuity starting with cash flow C1 in year 1 and increasing by the annual growth rate g forever:  (for t = 1, 2, …, ∞ ;g < r) and  

Growing annuity: an annuity starting with cash flow C1 in year 1 and increasing by the annual growth rate g for n years:   (with t = 1, 2, …, n)

Internal rate of return (IRR): discount rate that results in NPV = 0:  

Profitability index: ratio of NPV to investment of a project:  

Equivalent annual cash flow (EAC): cash flow per year with the same present value as the actual cash flow of the project:  

Interest and discount rates

Effective annual rate (EAR): annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using compound interest:

- EAR for a monthly rate m: EAR = (1+m)12 – 1
- EAR for a daily rate d: EAR = (1+d)360 – 1 (for 360 days per year)

Given an annual percentage rate (APR) of r, the corresponding EAR with respect to n shorter periods of equal length is:  

Effective annual rate with continuous compounding: effective annual rate for n → ∞ shorter periods:   (being r the simple annual rate)

Annual percentage rate (APR) or simple rate: annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using simple interest.

- APR for a monthly rate m: APR = 12 * m

Real rate of return: rate of return adjusted for inflation:    (being i the inflation rate)


Valuing bonds

Price of a bond:  
with

Ct annual coupon interest payment
F face value (or principal)
r discount rate (yield to maturity)
N maturity

Duration of a bond with maturity N: weighted average period of bond payments:  

Modified duration: a measure of volatility (elasticity) of bond prices:  


Valuing stocks

(Expected) Stock return r (equity cost of capital):  

  • Stock price P0 in the single-period case:  
  • Dividend discount model for the stock price P0 in the multi-period case until time horizon H:  
  • Stock price P0 with specific dividends until time horizon H and growing dividends after H:  
  • Stock price for a perpetual stream of dividends:  
  • Stock price for a perpetual stream of growing dividends:  
  • Stock price = Discounted earnings + growth opportunities:  


Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO): net present value of a firm's future investments.

Return (Equity cost of capital) of a perpetual stream of dividends with growth:  

Return on Equity with market values:  

Payout ratio: fraction of earnings paid out as dividends:  

Plowback ratio: fraction of earnings retained by the firm:  

Sustainable growth rate: rate at which a firm can steadily grow:  

Discounted cash flow (DCF): value of the free cash flows that are available to investors plus company value at the planning horizon, all discounted to present:  

Risk and return

Risk premium of an asset: asset return – return of risk-free asset.

Variance: expected value of squared deviations of observations from their expected value (mean):   (based on j observations)

Standard deviation: a measure of volatility of expected stock returns:  

Expected portfolio return (with two assets):  

Expected portfolio return (with j = 1, …, n assets):  

xj weight of asset j in the portfolio
rj (expected) return of asset j

Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance) in the case of two assets:  

Covariance between asset i and j with  

Correlation coefficient between asset i and j:  

Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance) in the case of n assets:  

Sharpe-Ratio: ratio of risk premium to risk (standard deviation):  

Beta of the return of asset j to the market return (return of market portfolio m):  


Expected return following the security market line equation (SML):  

Expected return of a stock in event studies:  

Abnormal return = actual return – expected return =  

Capital Structure and Return

Rates of return:
 
 
 

Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):  

rD interest rate on debt resp. debt cost of capital
rE return on equity resp. equity cost of capital
Tc corporate tax rate

Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) with a zero-tax rate:  

Leverage-formula for return on equity: return on equity increases with debt/equity-ratio:  

Leverage-formula for equity beta: risk increases with debt/equity-ratio:  


Exercises

Please try our Financial Exercises or have a look at the Financial Ratios or at our investment pages.