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== Dynamic investment indicators ==
== Present values, perpetuities and annuities ==


'''Present value PV:''' value of a future payment C<sub>t</sub> (in year t), discounted to year 0: [[Datei:Form_FV.png]]
'''Present value PV:''' value of a future payment C<sub>t</sub> (in year t), discounted to year 0: [[Datei:Form_FV.png]]
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'''Annual percentage rate (APR) or simple rate:''' annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using simple interest.
'''Annual percentage rate (APR) or simple rate:''' annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using simple interest.


:- APR for a monthly rate m: APR = 12 m
:- APR for a monthly rate m: APR = 12 * m
   
   
Given an annual percentage rate (APR) of r, the corresponding EAR with respect to n shorter periods of equal length is:
Given an annual percentage rate (APR) of r, the corresponding EAR with respect to n shorter periods of equal length is: [[Datei:Form_EAR.png]]
'''Effective annual rate with continuous compounding:''' effective annual rate for n → &#8734; shorter periods
'''Effective annual rate with continuous compounding:''' effective annual rate for n → &#8734; shorter periods: [[Datei:Form_EAR_cc.png]] (being r the simple annual rate)
(being r the simple annual rate)


'''Real rate of return:''' rate of return adjusted for inflation
'''Real rate of return:''' rate of return adjusted for inflation: [[Datei:Form_Real_Int_1.png]]
→  with i = inflation rate
[[Datei:Form_Real_Int_2.png]] (being i the inflation rate)




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== Valuing bonds ==
== Valuing bonds ==


'''Price of a bond:'''
'''Price of a bond:''' [[Datei:Form_PV_Bond.png]]




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: N maturity<br/>
: N maturity<br/>


'''Duration of a bond with maturity N:''' weighted average period of bond payments.  
'''Duration of a bond with maturity N:''' weighted average period of bond payments: [[Datei:Form_Duration.png]]


'''Modified duration:''' a measure of volatility (elasticity) of bond prices:
'''Modified duration:''' a measure of volatility (elasticity) of bond prices: [[Datei:Form_Mod_Duration.png]]
   
   


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== Valuing stocks ==
== Valuing stocks ==


'''(Expected) [[Wertpapierrendite|Stock return r]] (equity cost of capital):'''
'''(Expected) [[Wertpapierrendite|Stock return r]] (equity cost of capital):''' [[Datei:Form_Stock_Return.png]]
'''Stock price P<sub>0</sub> in the single-period case:'''
'''Stock price P<sub>0</sub> in the single-period case:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_einperiodig.png]]
'''Dividend discount model''' for the stock price P0 in the multi-period case until time horizon H:
'''Dividend discount model''' for the stock price P0 in the multi-period case until time horizon H: [[Datei:Form_P0_mehrperiodig.png]]
'''Stock price P<sub>0</sub>''' with specific dividends until time horizon H and growing dividends after H:
'''Stock price P<sub>0</sub>''' with specific dividends until time horizon H and growing dividends after H: [[Datei:Form_P0_growth.png]]


'''Stock price for a perpetual stream of dividends:'''
'''Stock price for a perpetual stream of dividends:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_perpetual.png]]
'''Stock price for a perpetual stream of growing dividends:'''
'''Stock price for a perpetual stream of growing dividends:''' [[Datei:Form_P0_perp_growth.png]]
'''Return (Equity cost of capital) of a perpetual stream of dividends with growth:'''
'''Return (Equity cost of capital) of a perpetual stream of dividends with growth:''' [[Datei:Form_RoE_growth.png]]
'''Return on Equity with market values:'''
'''Return on Equity with market values:''' [[Datei:Form_RoE.png]]
'''Payout ratio:''' fraction of earnings paid out as dividends:  
'''Payout ratio:''' fraction of earnings paid out as dividends: [[Datei:Form_Payout.png]]
'''Plowback ratio:''' fraction of earnings retained by the firm:
'''Plowback ratio:''' fraction of earnings retained by the firm: [[Datei:Form_Plowback.png]]
'''Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO):''' net present value of a firm's future investments
'''Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO):''' net present value of a firm's future investments.


'''Sustainable growth rate:''' rate at which a firm can steadily grow:
'''Sustainable growth rate:''' rate at which a firm can steadily grow: [[Datei:Form_Sustainable.png]]
'''Discounted cash flow (DCF):''' value of the free cash flows that are available to investors plus company value at the planning horizon, all discounted to present:
'''Discounted cash flow (DCF):''' value of the free cash flows that are available to investors plus company value at the planning horizon, all discounted to present: [[Datei:Form_DCF.png]]




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== Rates of return on capital and assets: ==
== Capital Structure and Return ==


'''[[Rentabilität|Rates of return]]:'''
'''[[Rentabilität|Rates of return]]:'''

Version vom 3. Dezember 2011, 16:03 Uhr

by Clemens Werkmeister


Present values, perpetuities and annuities

Present value PV: value of a future payment Ct (in year t), discounted to year 0: Form FV.png

Future value FVt: value of a present payment (in year 0), calculated by compounding to year t: Form PV.png

t year
r discount rate (interest rate)
Form Disc Fact.png discount factor with discount rate (interest rate) r for t years
Ct cash flow in year t
C0 initial investment of a project (for normal investment projects: C0 < 0)
T number of years of the project

The sum of several present values is a PV, too (additivity of present values):Form PV Sum.png


Net present value NPV: PV of future payments (of a project or a company) plus the - usually negative - initial investment C0: Form NPV.png

Perpetuity (console): a periodic (annual) payment C that is received or paid forever (beginning with the first payment at the end of year 1):Form PV Perp.png

Annuity: a payment of a level cash flow C during a specified number of years (from year 1 to n). Its present value can be calculated as difference between two perpetuities: Form PV Ann.png

Annuity (recovery) factor: average payment at the end of n periods, corresponding to a present value PV and considering for interest rate r:Form Recov factor.png

Annuity present value factor: factor for the PV of n equal payments at the end of years 1 to n: Form Ann PV factor.png

The annuity C for years 1 to n corresponding to a present value PV and discount rate r is: Form Ann PV.png

Growing perpetuity: a perpetuity starting with cash flow C1 in year 1 and increasing by the annual growth rate g forever:Form C growth.png (for t = 1, 2, …, ∞ ;g < r) and Form PV perp growth.png

Growing annuity: an annuity starting with cash flow C1 in year 1 and increasing by the annual growth rate g for n years: Form PV ann growth.png (with t = 1, 2, …, n)

Internal rate of return (IRR): discount rate that results in NPV = 0: Form NPV zero.png

Profitability index: ratio of NPV to investment of a project: Form PI.png

Equivalent annual cash flow (EAC): cash flow per year with the same present value as the actual cash flow of the project: Form EAC.png


Interest and discount rates

Effective annual rate (EAR): annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using compound interest:

- EAR for a monthly rate m: EAR = (1+m)12 – 1
- EAR for a daily rate d: EAR = (1+d)360 – 1 (for 360 days per year)

Annual percentage rate (APR) or simple rate: annualized rate of shorter period interest rates (monthly, daily rates) using simple interest.

- APR for a monthly rate m: APR = 12 * m

Given an annual percentage rate (APR) of r, the corresponding EAR with respect to n shorter periods of equal length is: Form EAR.png

Effective annual rate with continuous compounding: effective annual rate for n → ∞ shorter periods: Form EAR cc.png (being r the simple annual rate)

Real rate of return: rate of return adjusted for inflation: Form Real Int 1.pngForm Real Int 2.png (being i the inflation rate)


Valuing bonds

Price of a bond: Form PV Bond.png


with

Ct annual coupon interest payment
F face value (or principal)
r discount rate (yield to maturity)
N maturity

Duration of a bond with maturity N: weighted average period of bond payments: Form Duration.png

Modified duration: a measure of volatility (elasticity) of bond prices: Form Mod Duration.png


Valuing stocks

(Expected) Stock return r (equity cost of capital): Form Stock Return.png

Stock price P0 in the single-period case: Form P0 einperiodig.png

Dividend discount model for the stock price P0 in the multi-period case until time horizon H: Form P0 mehrperiodig.png

Stock price P0 with specific dividends until time horizon H and growing dividends after H: Form P0 growth.png

Stock price for a perpetual stream of dividends: Form P0 perpetual.png

Stock price for a perpetual stream of growing dividends: Form P0 perp growth.png

Return (Equity cost of capital) of a perpetual stream of dividends with growth: Form RoE growth.png

Return on Equity with market values: Form RoE.png

Payout ratio: fraction of earnings paid out as dividends: Form Payout.png

Plowback ratio: fraction of earnings retained by the firm: Form Plowback.png

Present value of growth opportunities (PVGO): net present value of a firm's future investments.

Sustainable growth rate: rate at which a firm can steadily grow: Form Sustainable.png

Discounted cash flow (DCF): value of the free cash flows that are available to investors plus company value at the planning horizon, all discounted to present: Form DCF.png


Risk and return

Risk premium of an asset: asset return – return of risk-free asset

Variance: expected value of squared deviations of observations from their expected value (mean):

based on j observations

Standard deviation: a measure of volatility of expected stock returns:


Expected portfolio return (with two assets):

Expected portfolio return (with j = 1, …, n assets):

xj weight of asset j in the portfolio
rj (expected) return of asset j

Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance) in the case of two assets:

Covariance between asset i and j with

Correlation coefficient between asset i and j:

Variance of portfolio return (portfolio variance) in the case of n assets:

Beta of the return of asset j to the market return (return of market portfolio m):


Expected return following the security market line equation (SML):

Expected return of a stock in event studies:

Abnormal return = actual return – expected return =



Capital Structure and Return

Rates of return:



Weighted average cost of capital (WACC):

rD interest rate on debt resp. debt cost of capital
rE return on equity resp. equity cost of capital
Tc corporate tax rate

Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) with a zero-tax rate:

Leverage-formula for return on equity: return on equity increases with debt/equity-ratio

Leverage-formula for equity beta: risk increases with debt/equity-ratio: